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Industry of building materials of unpleasant attack by surprise of quarterly sex

From;  Author:Stand originally


2 it is macroscopical adjusting control. The investment apiration that the enterprise is based on trade situation bearing will get the country is macroscopical of adjusting control restrict. Current, change in order to send appoint the policy of macroscopical adjusting control that is dominant basically is the adjusting control that is based on trade situation bearing, the purpose is to prevent industry profit to had fluctuated big; It is to be based on next energy-saving the adjusting control that reduces a platoon, the purpose is to answer our country to reduce industry to produce a process to medium the sources of energy is used up and be opposite of the environment pollution.

We think, no matter be,spend angle from industry boom, still analyse from the angle of macroscopical adjusting control, 8 years building materials industry appears the possibility that produces can excessive dilate is not large. The situation that appears very likely is the industry regression to normal gain level, the industry invests apiration escalate. But, because be based on energy-saving the macroscopical adjusting control that reduces a platoon, the difficulty that will make reality of translate into of apiration of this kind of investment invests increases, cycle spins.

Build according to be in 8 of statistic of building materials website years at present produce can circumstance, we predict 8 years to add cement grog newly to produce can be 140 million tons, new increase production of amount to cement can 180 million tons, the consideration washs out backward cement 8 years to produce can 50 million tons, add cement newly 8 years to produce completely can be 130 million tons. Build according to be in 8 of statistic of building materials website years at present produce can circumstance, new increase production of industry of plate glass of 8 years of our country can keep balance basically with 7 years for 57 million serious case, 7 years the yield of put into production can be 58 million serious case about.

Demand is had seasonal

In fixed assets investment is added fast fall in the premise of 24% , the demand growth that we predict building materials product adds those who maintain 10% above fast. The demand that we predict cement product 8 years is added fast will mix 7 years 11% of the left and right sides add fast keep consistent, criterion 8 years cement adds demand newly to will achieve 150 million tons of above, countrywide cement demand will be in 1.45 billion tons of above. The demand that we predict vitreous product 8 years is added fast will slightly under 7 years 15% of the left and right sides add fast, add fast in 13% the left and right sides, criterion 8 years glass adds demand newly to will achieve above of 62 million serious case, demand of countrywide plate glass will be in above of 510 million serious case.

Relative to the overall growth at demand, by the demand quarter sex that credit policy change brings about this year change is needed to pay close attention to more. Mix in 6 years 7 years of 1 quarter, credit loan is as high as near 40% of annual amount, now year the adjusting control target according to the Central Bank, this one scale will drop 35% , this is opposite likely the it is certain to grow generation compared to the same period influence of demand of 1 quarter building materials.
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